Report
Patrick Artus

The fall in capital requirements

The world will use less capital. The reasons are as follows: Demand is shifting from industry to services, where capital intensity is lower; Population ageing is likely to reduce the need for housing; The world will become capital-efficient, by switching from a logic of ownership to a logic of rental (for cars, household capital goods, holiday homes, etc.); Admittedly, the need for capital in renewable energies will increase, but at the same time there will be a fall in the need for capital in fossil fuels. It therefore seems reasonable to predict a fall in global capital requirements, which will therefore lead ex ante to a situation of excess savings, and therefore ex post to persistently low real interest rates .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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