Report
Patrick Artus

The fundamental reason why central banks are doomed to never exit their expansionary monetary policies

In OECD countries, we have seen over the past 30 years: A very significant increase in debt in relation to GDP (income); A very significant increase in wealth in relation to GDP. This means that the economic equilibrium increasingly depends on: Borrowers' solvency situation; Changes in wealth, and therefore in asset prices. Central banks in OECD countries are therefore increasingly subject to a twofold constraint: Not triggering a loss of borrower solvency; Not reducing the value of wealth; which forces them to keep monetary policies expansionary no matter what. There is therefore more than “fiscal dominance”: there is “debt dominance” and “wealth dominance”.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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