Report
Patrick Artus

The links between public debt and employment rate for euro-zone countries

Can a low employment rate lead to a high public debt ratio? One could think so, as a low employment rate leads to: Low potential GDP, and there fore low tax revenues; Increased primary inequality (before redistribution), which leads to large-scale redistributive policies (generous social welfare, support to low incomes, etc.) that can lead to a chronic fiscal deficit. When comparing the euro-zone countries, we see that low employment rates and high public debt ratios are closely associated. It is clear that the dynamics where a low employment rate is offset by a continuous fiscal deficit cannot be extended in the long term.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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