Report
Patrick Artus

The "new" macroeconomic model

Recent macroeconomic developments have led to the construction of a new macroeconomic model where: Inflation is exogenous (it does not depend on either the cyclical situation or money supply growth); Interest rates are controlled by central banks and are exogenous (thanks to yield curve control, central banks control long-term interest rates); Money is mainly investment money, which is a component of wealth; The money supply is endogenous, set at the level required for the interest rate to be equal to its target value. This new model has very particular characteristics: Monetary policy boils down to keeping the interest rate at the desired level; The real interest rate is exogenous, so investment can no longer be stimulated; An expansionary fiscal policy increases production, bond issues, the money supply and asset prices (equities, real estate, etc.) and has no impact on interest rates.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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