Report
Patrick Artus

The origin of the global savings-investment equilibrium prior to the coronavirus crisis

The global savings-investment equilibrium is observed ex post , but this equilibrium and the trend in real interest rates provide information on the characteristics of the ex-ante savings-investment equilibrium: The global private savings rate has risen since 2010, which stems from the United States, China and oil-producing countries; The global fiscal deficit has risen considerably since 2009; Since 2010, the global private investment rate has risen slightly; housing investment has fallen; and non-housing (corporate) investment has risen considerably. The key takeaway is that the excess savings have been absorbed by increase s in fiscal deficits and in corporate investment.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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