Report
Patrick Artus

The structural decline in the cyclicality of long-term interest rates

In the United States and the euro zone, the cyclicality of long-term interest rates has declined steadily since the early 2010s: growth is driving up long-term interest rates less and less, or not at all. This can be explained by: The decline in the cyclicality of wages and inflation; The fact that expansionary monetary policies are increasingly maintained in the second half of growth periods, with the abundance of liquidity lead ing to investments in risk-free bonds even when growth is present; The rise in the global savings rate, which is a structural cause of low long-term interest rates.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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