The tricky questions underpinning any growth forecast for OECD countries

Any growth forecast for OECD countries today hinges on the answers to a number of tricky questions, in particular: Is there going to be a compromise between the United States and China on trade matters? Is growth in China and therefore in global trade going to remain weak? Where to for oil prices? Are fiscal policies going to take advantage of the very low interest rates and become more expansionary? Are very low interest rates actually capable of keep ing an insolvency crisis and a recession at bay?