Report
Patrick Artus

The United States has much to lose from a higher level of overall uncertainty

The policies conducted in the United States (protectionism, geopolitical tensions with many countries, shift from multilateralism to bilateralism) help create a high level of uncertainty. Yet , a high level of uncertainty is negative for the US economy: It can make it more difficult to finance the fiscal deficit and the external deficit; it can reduce demand for US external debt; It can discourage US companies from increas ing their debt leverage, which would lead to a decline in purchases of equities and in share prices; It can discourage US households from running up debt to consume, which would dampen consumption. Generally speaking, a country that has a low savings rate and whose growth depends on borrowing should prefer a low level of uncertainty, since high uncertainty discourages both lenders and borrowers.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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