October/November Employment Preview
The labor data printing tomorrow has been a long time coming. The October payrolls number was originally scheduled to be released November 7 and the November data was supposed to come out December 5, with both being delayed from the government shutdown earlier this quarter. Though much anticipated, we think that absent an extreme outcome, this print will not be decisive for the Fed meeting in January. As Fed Chair Powell suggested at last week’s FOMC meeting, the Fed will look at the October and November data releases with “somewhat of a skeptical eye” due to the incomplete collection of data ...