Towards highly negative real long-term interest rates in the euro zone?
We believe , first, that the ECB will keep short-term interests very low (zero or negative) for a sustained period and will continue to facilitate the financing of fiscal deficits with bond purchases and , second, that inflation in the euro zone will pick up on the back of higher production costs brought about by the new health regulations. This can be expected to lead to highly negative real long-term interest rates in the euro zone, increasing the likelihood of asset price bubbles in the long term (equities, real estate, infrastructure).