Report
Patrick Artus

Traditional monetary policy practice is based on two mechanisms that have disappeared

In OECD countries, traditional monetary policy practice is straightforward: the central bank pursues an inflation target by conducting a countercyclical monetary policy: in growth periods, when unemployment is declining, monetary policy becomes more restrictive to combat inflation ; after a lag, the tightening of monetary policy pushes down inflation. But one can now see in OECD countries that: The link between the economic cycle and inflation has disappeared; The link between money supply growth and inflation has disappeared. This makes conventional monetary policy practice ineffective on two counts: declining unemployment no longer heralds inflation, and monetary policy no longer has an impact on inflation in the medium term.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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