Report
Patrick Artus

Two mechanisms that may lead to a reversal of the effect of monetary policy on inflation

Is it possible that an expansionary monetary policy may lead to a fall in inflation and that a restrictive monetary policy may lead to a rise in inflation? Two mechanisms may lead to this paradoxical effect: "Neo-Fisherism": expected inflation, and therefore long-term inflation, is determined by nominal interest rates; The "monetary policy cost channel": companies have to run up debt to finance stocks and working capital requirements; if interest rates rise (for example), the cost of this necessary debt increases, which leads to a rise in production costs and in prices .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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