Report
Patrick Artus

Two possibilities for long-term interest rates to rise again: Return of inflation, but also a “strike” by lenders

Long-term interest rates are very low in all OECD countries, which , in particular, has the effect of maintaining strong solvency for all borrowers. Two developments could lead to a rise in long-term interest rates. The first is well-known, the second is more original: A return of inflation, in particular due to a change in labour market policies; A "strike by lenders", as savers/investors refuse to lend their savings (to buy bonds) at such low interest rates, and switch into either equities or monetary assets. Currently, we cannot see any sign of such a “strike” by lenders, but this is a possibility to consider .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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