Report
Patrick Artus

We should not forget that when real interest rates are lower than real growth, there is a tax on savers

It is often proposed that European countries should switch to a "war economy" against climate change, and that the very substantial investment spending needed in this war economy should be offset by real long-term interest rates that are lower than real long-term growth. Actually, if real long-term interest rates are lower than real long-term growth, it is possible to conduct a highly expansionary fiscal policy without driving up the public debt ratio; it is also possible for companies to invest more. But it should be remembered that if real long-term interest rates are lower than real growth, there is a tax on all bond savers and long-term lenders, a tax that benefits the State (on public debt) and companies (on long-term corporate debt). This policy of setting real interest rates lower than real growth has the advantage of preventing a public debt or corporate debt crisis, but has the disadvantage of taxing savers who invest in bonds and credit.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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