Report
Patrick Artus

What are the biggest threats to financial markets today?

Investors believe that the biggest threats to financial markets (for equities, corporate bonds) are: A recession in the United States or Europe. But as long as interest rates are so low and the solvency of all economic agents is assured, a recession is very unlikely; An across-the-board trade war. But a compromise between China, Europe and the United States seems more likely given the cost of protectionism for all these countries; Resurgent inflation, which would trigger a debt crisis and a recession. But inflation is unlikely to return as long as the functioning of labour markets remains the same. But there are also grounds to fear: The weakening of the Chinese economy; In Europe, the weakening of retail banks, due to the low interest rates; A prolonged recession in Germany, due to the crisis in traditional industry.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch