Report
Patrick Artus

What are the real problems with the energy transition?

We are looking at the energy transition from Europe’s perspective based on a trajectory of global temperature increase of 1.5°C to 1.7°C by the end of the century. We show that the problem is not: The amount of additional investment needed, which will be low in net terms; The impact on real income, which will be positive since there will be reshoring: European production of renewable energy, with, moreover, equipment largely manufactured in Europe, will be substituted for imports of fossil fuels. That leaves the following problems: The rise in the relative price of energy, which will create a cost competitiveness problem for Europe if it is not offset by an adjustment at the border; The redistributive effects of the shift to renewable energy: increase in the energy sector’s value added and in energy prices for consumers .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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