Report
Patrick Artus

What could quickly trigger another crisis?

After the COVID crisis, it would take a long period of “economic tranquillity” for interest rates remaining lower than the growth rate to gradually reduce debt ratios. The rapid onset of another crisis would therefore have very serious effects. But what could quickly trigger another crisis in OECD countries? A financial crisis in China spreading to the rest of the world; Accelerating wages leading to permanent inflation and a significant rise in interest rates; A spontaneous bursting of a bubble in an overvalued asset class, without any increase in interest rates; A major social crisis due to the rise in energy prices and job losses due to the energy transition, and the sharp rise in real estate prices due to expansionary monetary policies.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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