Report
Patrick Artus

What happens when investment needs increase considerably?

We look at the cases of the euro zone and France. Investment needs will increase considerably in these countries, given: Investments related to the energy transition (production and storage of renewable energies, decarbonisation of industry and transport, thermal renovation of buildings and housing); The correction of a housing shortfall; The need for investment in infrastructure (digital technology, transport); The correction of corporate underinvestment. If this huge upward adjustment in investment took place: The euro zone and France would move to a situation of a shortfall in savings, leading to higher real interest rates and normally a depreciation of the exchange rate; At equilibrium, consumption would be lower and the savings rate higher . In this situation , “frugal” consumers are helpful; As a significant portion of this investment offers low financial returns, the return on equity would decline, which is a normal consequence of an increase in capital intensity.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch