Report
Patrick Artus

What is the "lower limit" to negative interest rates in the euro zone?

Many investors wonder how far long-term interest rates can fall in the euro zone, and whether they can become even far more negative than now. There is a "lower limit" to negative long-term interest because: Below a certain level of interest rates, all savings switch to cash; As the household savings rate fall s , the income effect (households saving more to offset the fall in interest rates) disappears below a certain level of interest rates ; It starts becoming worthwhile to take currency risk on the dollar or emerging currencies to obtain higher bond yields in these currencies, leading to massive capital outflows and a depreciation of the euro that drives up interest rates.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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