Report
Patrick Artus

What may prevent a company from increasing wages?

We look at the situations of the United States, Germany, France and the euro zone as a whole. After the COVID crisis, c ompanies very quickly began to report severe hiring difficulties in all these countries. One might then rapidly conclude that there will be a sharp acceleration in wages. But the question then arises as to what might prevent a company from raising wages. A company will not raise wages even when there are major hiring difficulties if: It can offset them with productivity gains; It cannot raise its prices due to intense competition. In the recent period we have seen: In the United States, no acceleration in wages, a sharp rise in productivity gains and a rise in prices: wages are not accelerating even though there is leeway for them to do so; In France, Germany and the euro zone, a slight acceleration in wages, offset by a slight acceleration in productivity; a slowdown in companies’ selling prices , due to competition, which will be a barrier to wages accelerating further.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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