Report
Patrick Artus

What would the ECB’s monetary policy have been if its target had been a mix of goods and services prices and real estate prices?

The ECB cannot ignore the fact that bubbles in real estate prices always trigger a crisis, while it is not clear that a slightly higher inflation has a negative effect on well-being. Normally, this should lead the central bank to use not only inflation in prices of goods and services as a target, but a mix of inflation in prices of goods and services and inflation in residential real estate prices. If the ECB had done this, it would have: Conducted a markedly more restrictive monetary policy from 2001 to 2008; But would also have been able to maintain an expansionary monetary policy after the 2009 crisis.
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Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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