How much longer? - Our weekly cross-asset views
This was another risk-off week dominated again by energy price gains (+8% wtd) and volatility, bond bear flattening, hawkish market repricing of central banks rates, widening inflation B/E, US dollar strength and higher volatilities. Equities and credit are down moderately, but US resiliency eroded somehow (-SPX -1%; SPW -2.3%).Given the magnitude of the potential oil disruption, the most likely scenario in our view involves massive and coordinated efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But this path carries substantial risks, given the still ongoing escalation between US, Iran and Israel lea...