Report
Patrick Artus

When does a real asset protect against inflation?

It is often assumed that holding real assets protects against inflation. But this normally depends on two parameters: The elasticity of the nominal income provided by the real asset to inflation; The reaction of the long-term interest rate to inflation. The elasticity of the nominal income provided by the asset to inflation must be greater than the sensitivity of the long-term nominal interest rate to inflation for the real asset to protect against inflation. When we look at equities and residential real estate, we see: An over-indexation of dividends to inflation in the United States and the euro zone; equities therefore normally protect against inflation; A significant under-indexation of long-term interest rates to inflation; Very strong under-indexation of rents to inflation; residential real estate therefore does not protect against inflation.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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