Report
Patrick Artus

Where are OECD countries going with their higher fiscal deficits and public debt?

In many OECD countries ( the United States, France, Italy and Japan in particular), recent economic policies have led to the resurgence of sizeable fiscal deficits and are driving up public debt ratio s . Where is this policy leading these OECD countries in the medium term? Nothing dangerous will happen as long as central banks keep their expansionary monetary policies in place , interest rates therefore remain low and investors do not worry about rising public debt and default risk, which is the case at present (Italy being in a more unstable situation); But if interest rates rose (due to the return of inflation caused for example by a change to the functioning of labour markets) or if investor perceptions changed, these countries would be forced to shift to restrictive fiscal polic ies . The question today is whether the governments of these countries are right to bet on interest rates remaining low and on retaining the confidence of investors .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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