Report
Where will long-term interest rates go if growth slows and equity markets retreat?
The rise in long-term interest rates since the summer of 2018 in the United States and the euro zone can be attributed to: Optimism regarding growth, especially in the United States; Inflation due to the rise in the oil price; The attractiveness of the equity market for investors, especially in the United States; but this factor has been vanishing in the most recent period; The prospect of monetary policy normalisation. But long-term interest rates will no doubt decline as a consequence of the downward correction of growth expectations, of share prices, and of the outlook for central bank interest rates. We have possibly just seen the peak in long-term interest rates in the cycle.
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Natixis
Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.
Patrick Artus
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