Where will we find the global economy driver after the COVID crisis?
China has been the clear driver of the global economy for 20 years. But what will happen after the COVID crisis? We look at: Demographics; The potential for productivity gains; A few structural growth factors (education, infrastructure) for the United States, the European Union, China, India, Asia-Pacific countries excluding China and India, Africa, Latin America. It turns out that the driver of the global economy after the COVID is likely to be Asia-Pacific countries, excluding China and India. The problems of education and infrastructure quality are too negative for India and Africa; the lack of productivity gains is too negative for Latin America.