Report
Patrick Artus

Wherever interest rates go from here, there will be bad news

Interest rates have been low for a long time in OECD countries, thanks mainly to the absence of inflation. Wherever interest rates go from here , danger awaits : If interest rates remain low, it is no w well known that it will be conducive to corporate concentration, and therefore to a weakening of productivity and the appearance of “zombie firms”, and that it will weaken banks; If interest rates rise, for example in the event of an inflation shock, there will be massive losses for bondholders and a fall in the solvency of highly indebted economic agents. The fact that interest rates have been kept low for a very long time now means that all possible interest rate paths (continued low interest rates, rise in interest rates) will be unfavourable.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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