Report
Patrick Artus

Why a social crisis is likely in France

We believe that a social crisis in France is made likely by the fact that households and wage earners will be hit by a combination of: Rising energy prices due to the energy transition (due to the intermittency of renewable energy production and a higher CO 2 price); Job destruction (in fossil fuels, the automotive sector) , also due to the energy transition ; Soaring real estate prices due to the highly expansionary monetary policy and therefore even greater problems accessing housing; The continued skewing of the structure of jobs towards low-wage jobs in unsophisticated services. The economic policies needed to combat these developments are well known: redistributive policies aimed at low-income households, training and upskilling, reindustrialisation where possible, an increase in the lowest wages, support for housing construction.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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