Report
Patrick Artus

Why are euro-zone companies not using the very low interest rates and their very high profitability to invest more?

Despite very low long-term interest rates and very high profitability, the euro zone’s corporate investment rate is not very high. How can this be explained ? The sharp rise in the risk premium associated with investment in corporate capital; The industrial crisis, industry being the most capital-intensive sector; Banks’ difficulties; The uncertainty over growth in the short term and low potential growth ; The return to regional value chains, given the weak growth in domestic demand in the euro zone; The weakening of global trade, which is mainly linked to China’s change of growth model; The fact that a large share of the euro zone’s savings is invested in the rest of the world. Some of these explanations are related: the decline in potential growth weakens investment because of the regionalisation of value chains and diverts savings from being used to finance investment in the euro zone; the industrial crisis is linked to the weakening of global and Chinese growth. All this leads to a frustrating situation in the euro zone, where the environment might appear to be very conducive to corporate investment and yet is not generating much of it.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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