Report
Patrick Artus

Why interest rates are set to remain low for a long time in the euro zone

Currently, everything points in the direction of a sustained period of low interest rates in the euro zone: The low level of inflation, despite the low unemployment rate, due to the functioning of both the labour market and the goods market; The stability of oil prices at quite a low level; The ECB’s desire to lift inflation and expected inflation, but also to prevent a recession and a debt crisis; The euro zone’s excess savings and the excess demand for risk-free bonds at a time when the public debt is declining, in particular in the core countries; The low level of the term premium due to the low expected variability of short-term interest rates; The decline in the euro zone’s potential growth; The expansionary monetary policy in the United States, especially as the trade war is escalating; The lasting slowdown in Chinese growth and therefore in global trade and industrial growth.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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