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Why is productivity growth in Europe so low?

Productivity is the crucial determinant of a country’s potential growth and economic wellbeing . Productivity also determine s its unemployment rate and the purchasing power of wage earners. By being a crucial factor for trend growth, productivity growth also determines the real equilibrium rate of an economy and the neutral rate for monetary policy. When trying to understand productivity growth , i t is important to distinguish two types of productivity: labour productivity , which concerns the efficiency of workers (and can be associated with hourly labour productivity) which will be the main focus in this report; and total factor productivity , which measures an increase in productivity that cannot be explained by either a change in labour or capital productivity (machines, tools). After catching up to the OECD average, the European Union enjoyed high productivity growth until the 1990s before taper ing o f f thereafter , stagnating from the 2010s onwards . In January 2020, productivity growth has reached particularly low levels , close to zero in the four large Eurozone countries. This Special Report aims to shed light on the across-the-board slowdown in productivity . Beyond a measurement problem, the decline in productivity has similar origins in the various countries : the rise of the service sector of the economy, the fall in interest rates, the competition within markets, the rise of short-term and low-paid employment contracts. That said, there are in some countries , such as France , idiosyncra tic developments that help explain low productivity gains. Examples include labour market rigidity and mismatches between labour force skills and available jobs .
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Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

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Arno FONTAINE

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