Report
Patrick Artus

Why is the term premium low in the United States, the euro zone and Japan?

The long-term interest rate can be broken down between expectations of the future short-term interest rate and the term premium, which remunerates the risk of holding a long-term bond. The term premium has become very low in the United States, the euro zone and Japan (we measure the term premium by the spread between 10- and 2-year interest rates). This shows that the risk of holding bonds is low: the expected variability of long-term interest rates is low, which probably results from the low variability of inflation and therefore the low variability of short-term interest rates.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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