Report
Patrick Artus

Why long-term interest rates may decline

Econometric analysis shows that long-term interest rates (we look at the United States and the euro zone) depend on expected short-term interest rates, the central bank money supply, expected inflation and the global savings rate. In a configuration where: Expected inflation no longer rises and may even fall; Central banks continue to expand their balance sheets; Long-term interest rates will therefore fall, whatever the cyclical position of the economy. This is indeed what we are seeing today.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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