Report
Patrick Artus

Why real interest rates will have to remain very negative

The energy transition will require a significant and lasting increase in investment (sometimes estimated at 2-3% of GDP), and the financial return on these investments will sometimes be low. For these investments to be made, the following conditions will therefore have to be met: Real long-term interest rates must remain very low (negative), so that these investments can be undertaken and financed; this will require persistently expansionary monetary policies and low nominal interest rates even if inflation rises; Central banks must continue to absorb the bonds that are issued, since their real return will not be attractive at all for private investors; they will therefore permanently switch to other asset classes (equities, real estate, etc.), for which we should expect continuous price rises.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis
Christopher HODGE ... (+2)
  • Christopher HODGE
  • Jonathan PINGLE

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch