Report

Why US growth is likely to remain fairly strong in 2024

If we take the four quarters of 2023 together, US growth will probably be around 3%. Many forecasters are expecting a sharp slowdown in US growth in 2024, and even a brief recession. We do not agree with this scenario, for several reasons: US fiscal policy will remain highly expansionary in 2024; Corporate investment will continue to be underpinned by public support measures (IRA, Chips Act); Residential construction is already picking up, given the shift to low real mortgage rates , if they are calculated on the basis of real estate prices; Household consumption will be boosted by growth in real disposable income (real wages).
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Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

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