Why we believe inflation will return in the euro zone
Euro-zone companies in many business sectors are facing a decline in productivity due to the new health standards, and therefore an increase in their unit production costs. This can have two consequences: Either a decline in profit margins, without an increase in prices , if demand is weak; Or an increase in prices, if demand is strong enough. But euro-zone countries have implemented an extremely expansionary fiscal policy, interest rates will remain very low, and liquidity is very abundant: economic policies will provide massive stimulation of demand, which leads us to favour the scenario of rising inflation.