Report
Patrick Artus

Why were Keynesian policies abandoned?

OECD countries switched from Keynesian policies to supply-side policies from the 1980s. As they now return to Keynesian policies, it is worth asking why they had abandoned them: One explanation is ideological: the determination of capitalism, from the 1980s, to favour the interests of shareholders, which led to weak wage growth and a slowdown in public spending to reduce the tax burden, the opening up of trade with emerging countries and the free movement of capital; Another explanation is economic: in the 1970s and 1980s, demand stimulus at a time of rigid supply simply led to inflation. The idea therefore came naturally that supply-side policies were needed and that, in particular, the tax burden had to be reduced. The challenge today if Keynesian policies are to make a comeback is therefore clear, if one refers to the motives for abandoning them in favour of supply-side policies: They must not have a negative effect on supply; If possible, they must even increase supply (the case of efficient public investments); Bearing in mind that they will inevitably reduce the return on equity for shareholders (if there is faster wage growth and tax on capital income is increased).
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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