Report
Patrick Artus

Will France be able to avoid a macroeconomic adjustment?

The French economy’s main problem is that its production costs are abnormally high relative to the sophistication of its production. The reforms being implemented may improve this situation: The reforms of education and vocational training may lift production up the value chain; The cuts to corporate tax and to tax on capital income may lead to additional investment and lift productivity; The labour market reforms and the reduction in corporate social contributions will reduce labour costs. But France’s excess labour cost relative to its level of product sophistication is very large : the risk is that the reforms might not be enough to correct it , and that France will not be able to avoid a macroeconomic adjustment, i.e. an internal devaluation with a reduction in wages.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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