Report
Patrick Artus

Will the COVID crisis avoid the curse of crises: Permanent fall in potential growth and structural deterioration in the economy?

Past c rises have always (we look at the United States, the euro zone and France) led to a fall in potential growth due to a structural deterioration in the economy ( reduced capital accumulation, growing skills mismatches, reduced productive public spending). W h at would it take for the C OVID crisis to avoid this rule? T he deterioration in corporate balance sheets (loss of equity in particular) and fear of a nother crisis must not lead to a fall in corporate investment; A much greater education, skills and retraining drive than at present ; T h e need to stabilise (or even reduce) public debt ratios must not lead to a fall in growth-enhancing public spending.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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