Will the increase in household consumption in the euro zone in 2024 concern industrial products or services?
Wage rises will outstrip consumer price rises in 2024, so household consumption will increase. However, the effects of this increase in household consumption will vary greatly depending on whether it is for industrial products or services: If the increase in household consumption is for industrial products, there will be an upturn in industrial production, since industry in the euro zone has leeway to increase production; But if the increase in household consumption is for services, since services are still clearly in a situation of excess demand, there will be an additional rise in service prices, and therefore in headline inflation, and no increase in the production of services.