Report
Patrick Artus

Will the rise in unemployment in the euro zone due to the COVID crisis rapidly correct?

The fall in activity in 2020 is going to lead to a sharp rise in unemployment in the euro zone, despite the short-time working schemes, if only because companies have stopped hiring. Will the unemployment rate then fall back rapidly? This is doubtful, as: Companies face a long period of difficulty (higher debt, lower profits); The new health regulations will result in higher labour costs for as long as they are in place; The pronounced shift in the sectoral structure of the economy and jobs mean s that many wage earners are going to have to change occupation and retrain, which is a long and difficult process . A protracted period of high unemployment is a major barrier to a rapid recovery in demand for goods and services.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch