Report
Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q24 – PCs: Hopes for an AI-PC refresh and inventories building up. 2025 at risk?

Today, we are publishing the PCs section of our 24th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Enterprise IT, and Ride sharing & Delivery.
PC shipments again grew modestly. The supply chain wants to believe in an AI driven refresh cycle, but we see no evidence of it. The correction in CPUs ended only 3 quarter ago, but customer inventories are elevated again. This creates a correction at Intel, who keeps losing share despite being back at the leading edge. Management expects the correction to be short-lived, but we recommend prudence: a further increase in inventories could lead to a disappointing 2025 for CPUs.
Underlyings
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

Advanced Micro Devices is a semiconductor company. The company primarily provides x86 microprocessors, as standalone devices or as incorporated into an accelerated processing unit, chipsets, graphics processing units (GPUs), data center and personnel GPUs, and development services; server and embedded processors, semi-custom System-on-Chip products, development services and technology for game consoles. The company also licenses portions of its intellectual property portfolio. The company's segments are: Computing and Graphics, which consists of desktop, notebooks, commercial, and chipsets products; and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom, which includes server processors, and embedded P\processors products.

Intel Corporation

Intel is a data-centric company. The company's operating segments are: Data Center Group, which develops platforms for compute, storage, and network functions; Internet of Things Group, which facilitates its customers creating, storing, and processing data; Mobileye, which provides assistance and automation solutions; Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group, which provides memory and storage products based on Intel? Optane? technology and Intel? 3D NAND technology; Programmable Solutions Group, which provides programmable semiconductors; and Client Computing Group, which connects people to data, allowing each person to focus, create, and engage in ways that unlock their individual potential.

Provider
New Street Research
New Street Research

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Analysts
Pierre FerraguÊ

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