MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +42%) MTN Ghana – Q1 24: Good start to the year

MTN Ghana has reported a good set of Q1 results. Service revenue growth accelerated and continued to grow well above inflation. EBITDA trends slowed but remain solid. Capex intensity was down vs. Q1 last year. Medium guidance for Service Revenue growth (“high twenties %”) has been reiterated. The macro is expected to remain challenging in 2024. However, there has been an encouraging slow down in inflation over Q1.

South African Telcos South African Telcos - CY23 H2 review – Modest improvements

H2 was a better semester for the SA Telcos. Service revenue and EBITDA trends improved and capex – while still above historic levels – was contained. However, improvements were modest as the environment remains difficult and growth remains limited.

Orange (Buy, TP: €14, +28%) Q1 24: Good results; French KPIs not a worry, SR trends unchanged

Orange has reported a solid set of results, with EBITDA c+0.4% ahead of consensus. Guidance has all been reiterated, and cost synergy numbers for Spain have been lifted (with new additional revenue synergy numbers given, that are based on intra-company churn switching data, which makes it plausible some could be delivered in our view).

2025 outlook for datacenter AI, BEVs slow, Hybrids accelerate, AMD GPUs, and much more. The Weekly Wrap-Up.

NSR Policy: ACP’s Perils of Pauline

In this Weekend Update, we review the multiple activities affecting the prospects for an ACP extension, including one legislative solution that was pulled from a mark-up, a Senate hearing on the subject, and an effort to attach an extension to FAA reauthorization. Our bottom line remains: 1. With the ACP funds about to run out, recipients in May or June are likely to start having to make hard choices about what they are willing to pay for. 2. We agree with the consensus in government and industry that Congress is highly unlikely to provide an extension, but efforts will continue, as the numb...

Autumn for Broadband 1Q24

In this installment of our Autumn for Broadband series, we provide a quick update on trends in the broadband market based on what we have seen from the companies that have reported so far. Industry net adds were substantially weaker in 1Q24 with all technologies seeing slower growth (except DSL which was flat). Cable was impacted the most.