Report
Dominic Rose ...
  • Naresh Chouhan
EUR 4246.00 For Business Accounts Only

New Asthma Drugs Set to Sell $10bn

Five new drugs will drive the Severe Uncontrolled Asthma market from $4bn today to $10bn by 2023. Our bottom-up model shows that biologic drug penetration could almost double by 2023. We see AZN and Sanofi as material winners in the space and show that consensus is likely too low on Tezepelumab, Fasenra & Dupixent. Fasenra is already winning against Nucala (GSK), the P3 Dupixent asthma data has gone underappreciated and consensus models just $200m for Teze in 2023 in AZN numbers.
Underlyings
AMGEN INC.

Amgen is a biotechnology company that discovers, develops, manufactures and delivers human therapeutics. The company's products include: Enbrel? (etanercept), which is used in indications for the treatment of adult patients with moderately to severely active rheumatoid arthritis, patients with chronic moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis who are candidates for systemic therapy or phototherapy and patients with active psoriatic arthritis; and Prolia? (denosumab), which is used for the treatment of postmenopausal women with osteoporosis at high risk of fracture or multiple risk factors for fracture, or patients who have failed or are intolerant to other available osteoporosis therapy.

AstraZeneca PLC

AstraZeneca is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates as a biopharmaceutical company engaged in discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing its pipeline of small molecule and biologic prescription medicines, including targeted business development through collaboration, in-licensing and acquisitions. Co. is focused on three main therapy areas: Oncology, Cardiovascular and Metabolic Diseases, and Respiratory. Co. is also selectively active in autoimmunity, infection and neuroscience. In addition, Co. works across small molecules, oligonucleotides and other drug platforms, as well as biologic medicines.

GlaxoSmithKline plc

GlaxoSmithKline is a global healthcare company. Co.'s segments include: Pharmaceuticals; Vaccines; and Consumer Healthcare. The Pharmaceuticals segment is focused on developing new medicines in respiratory, HIV, oncology and immuno-inflammation, with discovery research exploring these and other areas. The Vaccines segment has a portfolio and pipeline of vaccines to help protect people throughout life. Co. delivers vaccines to people living in over 160 countries. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets consumer-preferred brands in oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition/gastro-intestinal and skin health.

Novartis AG

Novartis is a multinational healthcare group based in Switzerland. Co. provides healthcare solutions that address the evolving needs of patients and societies worldwide. Co.'s broad portfolio includes innovative medicines, eye care products and cost-saving generic pharmaceuticals. Co.'s operations are organized along three operating divisions: Innovative Medicines Division; Sandoz Division; and Alcon Division. Co.'s operations are supported by the Novartis Institutes for BioMedical Research and Novartis Business Services.

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals is a biotechnology company that discovers, invents, develops, manufactures, and commercializes medicines for the treatment of diseases. The company's commercialized medicines and product candidates in development are designed to assist patients with eye disease, allergic and inflammatory diseases, cancer, cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, neuromuscular diseases, infectious diseases, and rare diseases. The company's products include: EYLEA (aflibercept) injection, which is used for the treatment of neovascular age-related macular degeneration, diabetic macular edema; and Dupixent (dupilumab) injection, which is used for the treatment of adult patients with atopic dermatitis.

Roche Holding AG

Sanofi

Sanofi is an integrated, global healthcare company focused on patient needs and engaged in the research, development, manufacture and marketing of healthcare products. Two segments make up Co.'s business: Pharmaceuticals and Vaccines. The Pharmaceuticals segment covers research, development, production and marketing of medicines, consisting of flagship products, plus a broad range of prescription medicines, generic medicines, and consumer health products. The Vaccines segment includes research, development, production and marketing of vaccines in five areas: pediatric vaccines, influenza vaccines, adult and adolescent booster vaccines, meningitis vaccines, and travel and endemic vaccines.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is engaged in the development, manufacturing, marketing and distribution of generic, specialty, and other pharmaceutical products. The Generic Medicines segment offers a range of basic chemical entities, as well as specialized product families such as sterile products, hormones, narcotics, high-potency drugs and cytotoxic substances, in both parenteral and solid dosage forms. Co.'s specialty medicines business is focused on delivering innovative solutions to patients and providers via medicines, devices and services, includes Co.'s core therapeutic areas of the central nervous system and respiratory medicines.

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New Street Research
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Analysts
Dominic Rose

Naresh Chouhan

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