AMX (Buy, TP: $24, +40%) AMX - Q1 24: Accelerating revenue and EBITDA trends

AMX reported strong Q1 numbers after close, coming in ~2% ahead of consensus revenue and EBITDA. Growth accelerated (to 5% y/y from 3.7% in Q4) coming from Mexico and Brazil, and both fixed and wireless. Brazil EBITDA also saw strong support on the cost side. Capex was down y/y in Q1, in keeping with the FY 24 guide (~$7 billion, down from $8.8 billion in 2023); we expect mid-term capex to be provided at the upcoming May 7th Investor Day, and see potential for consensus estimates to come down here.

Mexican Cable/FTTH – Capex down, promotions lifting; Buy MEGA; TV/TPLAY (HY)

Following TotalPlay and Televisa results at the end of last week, and Megacable the week prior, we highlight key positive conclusions from the Mexican reporting season: 1/ Capex is coming down across the board in Mexico in FY 24 driving an uplift in OpFCF margin for all players, 2/ Lower promotional intensity through YE is helping ARPUs and would be supportive if it holds.

AMX (Buy, TP: $24, +30%) America Movil - Capex driving FCF inflection; FY model update

We highlight how a significant decline in capex is driving up FCF in FY 24 which in turn should drive better cash returns.

Elisa (Neutral, TP: €54, +27%) Q1 24: EBITDA growth better than SR growth, but B2B EBITDA still negative y/y

Elisa reported good results, with stable service revenue growth (+3% YoY) but importantly an acceleration in clean EBITDA (to +6% y/y from +4% y/y in Q4). EBITDA growth was better than SR growth for the first time since Q3 2021. This is what the market wanted to see, as concerns have been around operational leverage;

Mobileye pre 1Q24 model update

ADYEN (Buy, TP: EUR1,800, +27%) Rise of the Merchants: Shifts in Interchange and what it means for Adyen, PayPal and peers

As part of our accelerated efforts in Payments, our latest Deep Dive focuses on Interchange and the implications for Adyen and peers. The current narrative suggests it's not relevant for future profitability. We would refute this simplification: there are risks and opportunities for Adyen.