Report
Dominic Rose ...
  • Naresh Chouhan
EUR 4212.00 For Business Accounts Only

COVID-19 - Omicron Risk Still Real (10 pgs)

With US COVID cases likely to surge as Omicron takes off, our updated hospitalisation model shows even if peak infection prevalence reaches double what we saw in January, hospitalisations will likely only hit half the previous maximum. However, we remain highly concerned about 2 things: 1) A resurgence in US flu cases which could put hospitals under pressure & 2) Early signs that Omicron is hospitalising under 5’s. Simulated antibody binding data suggests Omicron is highly likely to evade vaccine derived immunity. With soaring infections (albeit with a low disease burden), the potential for children being hospitalised at higher rates than with Delta, the possibility of new vaccines being needed coupled with surging flu, the outlook remains highly uncertain, in our view.
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Dominic Rose

Naresh Chouhan

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