New Street Research - Frontier Communications Corporation Class B (FTRCQ) FYBR: updating capex and funding through 2026

Report

New Street Research

Jonathan Chaplin

EUR 9344.00 For Business Accounts Only

FYBR: updating capex and funding through 2026

The Company’s new Capex disclosure provides a clear map for cash capex for the fiber project for the remainder of the 10MM location plan, which will take them into 2026. Stronger confidence in the capex trajectory for the next three years lends confidence to the FCF trajectory and funding requirements (we have eliminated a variable). This should make it easier for investors on the sidelines to underwrite the investment case.

02/03/2024 1 EN

Underlying

Frontier Communications Corporation Class B

Frontier Communications is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a provider of communications services. The company conducts business with both consumer and commercial customers. For consumer customers, the company provides broadband, video, voice and other services and products. The company delivers these services over a combination of fiber and copper-based networks. The company's commercial customers consist of: small, medium and larger enterprise customers, whereby the company provides services including broadband service, Ethernet service, circuit-based services, SD-WAN, and managed Wi-Fi; and wholesale customers, which buy both voice and data services to supplement their own network infrastructure.

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US35906A3068 Pink OTC Markets United States

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New Street Research

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Analysts

Jonathan Chaplin

Other Reports on these Companies

New Street Research

FYBR: Cash flow in steady state

Frontier management has set targets for EBITDA of $4BN and operating FCF of $3BN on a footprint with 10MM fiber locations, in steady state. We built a simple model to vet this outcome. Our model arrives at slightly lower EBITDA and UFCF; however, modest cost cuts get us to the target, and cost cuts are likely. In addition to vetting steady-state targets, the model illuminates how value is created in the fiber business. We built it so that you can easily change assumptions and see the impact on value

EUR 9344.00

March 15, 2024 March 15, 2024 1 EN

New Street Research

ACP Part V: FCC releases survey results

The FCC released a survey that included more than 5,000 ACP households today. The FCC repeated the mistake of prior surveys by asking whether households were new to broadband with ACP as opposed to subscribers that are new to broadband with one of the subsidy programs that followed the pandemic (stimulus checks; EBB; ACP). They also asked the important question, which is “what will you do when ACP ends”. Our quick analysis here focuses mostly on the social costs of ACP going away. We will update our forecast for the impact to the operators in due course.

EUR 9344.00

March 2, 2024 March 2, 2024 1 EN

Wolfspeed: who could buy? At what price?

JANA Partners recently urged Wolfspeed management to consider a sale or explore other strategic alternatives. Execution delays at Mohawk Valley and Siler City over the years, combined with a slowdown in end-demand make the question legitimate. We review the situation, including potential acquirers and acquisition price.

22h / 35m 22h / 35m 1 EN

Jonathan Chaplin

Jonathan Chaplin

Charter Model Update

This note focuses mostly on model changes. Please see separate notes reviewing results and on thoughts following the earnings call. We lowered broadband adds, revenue and EBITDA. We also expect leverage to approach 4.25x by the end of the year. This likely rules out further repurchases this year, unless EBITDA is stronger than we expect. No change to thesis, though we expect Broadband stocks to be challenged for at least next few quarters. Price target is $431 (+69%).

EUR 9344.00

April 26, 2024 April 26, 2024 1 EN

Jonathan Chaplin

Jonathan Chaplin

CHTR: quick thoughts following the call

What's new: in this note we cover the change to leverage and what it means for management’s confidence in the business, our evolving thoughts on broadband market growth, our outlook for 2Q24 for broadband adds, ARPU, and EBITDA, and thoughts on long-term pricing strategy.

EUR 9344.00

April 26, 2024 April 26, 2024 1 EN

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FYBR: updating capex and funding through 2026

FYBR: Cash flow in steady state

ACP Part V: FCC releases survey results

Wolfspeed: who could buy? At what price?

Charter Model Update

CHTR: quick thoughts following the call

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