Report
Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Foundries: Upside for TSMC; others at risk.

Today, we are publishing the Foundry section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish the last section on Enterprise IT.

Driven by strong AI demand, TSMC increased its 2025 growth outlook to 30% (from 25%). This still leaves room for upside, as it implies a QoQ revenue decline in 4Q. We are cautious on other foundries: consensus expectations imply 4% growth in 3Q and 4Q, but weakening end-demand in smartphones and PCs and a possible digestion of semi inventories in the second half of the year pose a risk.
Underlyings
GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC

SAMSUNG SEMICONDUCTOR INC

United Microelectronics Corp.

United Microelectronics is principally engaged in the manufacture or fabrication of integrated circuits, semiconductor parts and components across industries, including communication, consumer electronics, computer, and others. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is also engaged in investment holding; selling and manufacturing of solar power batteries and solar power cell; designing and manufacturing of light-emitting diode (LED); involving in insurance industries; provision of solar engineering integrated design services; operating photovoltaic power plant.

Provider
New Street Research
New Street Research

Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
  • US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
  • Global Emerging Market Telecoms
  • Japan Telecoms
  • Asian Internet
  • Pan European Healthcare
  • Global healthcare thematic research

We provide debt research on:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable


Analysts
Pierre FerraguÊ

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