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Indian Telcos & Towers What to expect in 2025: FWA S-curve enables monster Jio IPO? Indus to Neutral

FWA will likely be the key themes of 2025 in Indian Telcos we think, with the market likely to be delivering 5m+ quarterly net adds by the end of the year. This is likely to drive renewed optimism towards Bharti and enable Jio to IPO. Given Jio’s valuation of approaching $200bn if it happens this is likely to be one of the biggest events in Global Telecoms this year. On rolling forward our DCF our Indus pt rises to INR 325 and we lift our recommendation to Neutral, and stay Buyers of both Bharti and RIL.
Underlyings
Indus Towers Limited

Bharti Infratel provides telecom tower infrastructure in India. Co. acquires, builds, owns, operates, and manages towers and related infrastructure for wireless telecommunications service providers. As of Mar 31 2014, Co. owned and operated 83,368 towers and 167,202 co-locations in 22 telecommunication circles.

Vodafone Idea Ltd

Idea Cellular provides Global System for Mobile Communications (GSM) based mobile services and related telephony services to individuals and businesses in India. The company operates through three segments: Mobility Services, which provides GSM based mobile and related telephony services; International Long Distance (ILD), which provides international long distance services; and Passive Infrastructure, which provides passive infrastructure services. Co. offers 2G and 3G services that comprise roaming arrangements; ILD and other services; and a range of mobile broadband devices, including dongles and 3G smartphones that provide 3G applications and data services.

Provider
New Street Research
New Street Research

Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
  • US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
  • Global Emerging Market Telecoms
  • Japan Telecoms
  • Asian Internet
  • Pan European Healthcare
  • Global healthcare thematic research

We provide debt research on:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable


Analysts
Chris Hoare

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