Report
Dominic Rose ...
  • Naresh Chouhan
EUR 4644.50 For Business Accounts Only

Lonza - Reset Largely Done, What Multiple? (SELL, TP CHF465 [490], 8 pgs)

Consensus earnings forecasts are likely to fall 10-15% for the coming years, in our view, & whilst today’s share price move largely encapsulates the d/grade, the question for us is, what price do you pay for this outlook and lack of visibility? We see further risks in Cell & Gene which could be a drag until 2025, especially on the margin. The additional capacity in Early Discovery Services is also likely to be a drag given the biotech funding outlook, as is the Nutraceuticals recovery given depressed consumer spending expected later this year. The October CMD will be critical but in the absence of longer-term targets, we don’t expect a material bounce from here.
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Underlying
Lonza Group AG

Lonza supplies services and products that range from active pharmaceutical ingredients and stem-cell therapies to drinking water sanitizers, from vitamin B compounds and organic personal care ingredients to agricultural products, and from industrial preservatives to microbial control solutions. Co. operates in two segments: Lonza Pharma & Biotech, which clusters all of Co.'s offerings for pharmaceutical markets, focuses on providing custom development, custom manufacturing, cell therapy, viral therapeutics and bioscience solutions; and Lonza Specialty Ingredients, which includes offerings in its consumer care, agro ingredients, industrial solutions, wood protection and water treatment.

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New Street Research
New Street Research

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Analysts
Dominic Rose

Naresh Chouhan

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